Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.037484 0.040468 0.043600 0.047137 0.051026 0.055177 0.059953
2025-04-20 0.032719 0.036939 0.041613 0.047193 0.053701 0.061083 0.070135
2025-04-27 0.029837 0.034838 0.040608 0.047801 0.056587 0.067048 0.080560
2025-05-04 0.027292 0.032723 0.039195 0.047547 0.058142 0.071272 0.088992
2025-05-11 0.025321 0.031045 0.038056 0.047376 0.059591 0.075271 0.097271
2025-05-18 0.023650 0.029562 0.036978 0.047096 0.060748 0.078832 0.105119
2025-05-25 0.022297 0.028359 0.036127 0.046980 0.062016 0.082523 0.113335
2025-06-01 0.020902 0.026989 0.034939 0.046278 0.062365 0.084886 0.119755
2025-06-08 0.019598 0.025651 0.033690 0.045376 0.062315 0.086605 0.125275
2025-06-15 0.018588 0.024644 0.032819 0.044918 0.062826 0.089114 0.132125
2025-06-22 0.017692 0.023739 0.032026 0.044502 0.063334 0.091603 0.139088
2025-06-29 0.016736 0.022698 0.030977 0.043634 0.063080 0.092868 0.144123
2025-07-06 0.016251 0.022306 0.030844 0.044125 0.064949 0.097598 0.155372
2025-07-13 0.015652 0.021719 0.030393 0.044100 0.065997 0.101077 0.164796
2025-07-20 0.015255 0.021404 0.030320 0.044642 0.067965 0.106180 0.177523
2025-07-27 0.014681 0.020798 0.029777 0.044404 0.068633 0.109126 0.186595
2025-08-03 0.014169 0.020259 0.029304 0.044245 0.069406 0.112282 0.196321
2025-08-10 0.013667 0.019713 0.028793 0.043988 0.069981 0.115112 0.205662
2025-08-17 0.013234 0.019252 0.028389 0.043880 0.070796 0.118408 0.216210
2025-08-24 0.012705 0.018620 0.027687 0.043234 0.070619 0.119866 0.223164
2025-08-31 0.012166 0.017953 0.026901 0.042403 0.070058 0.120556 0.228572
2025-09-07 0.011748 0.017458 0.026371 0.041981 0.070203 0.122578 0.236973
2025-09-14 0.011361 0.016999 0.025879 0.041597 0.070388 0.124678 0.245732